The Problem Was Never the Technology

Analysis · THE BUILT ENVIRONMENT'S CARBON PROBLEM · PART 3 OF 6


Photo by C Dustin on Unsplash

Part 2 ended on a real limit: some building emissions come out of chemistry, and no clean grid removes them. That's the exception, though. For most of what drives a building's footprint — how efficient it is, how it's heated, how it's powered — the fixes already exist and are on the market today: efficiency measures, electrification, on-site and grid renewables. As the research team behind the largest study of its kind put it, many of the tools needed to cut building emissions are already here.

So the question isn't what to build. It's why the sector keeps moving so slowly with tools it already has. In 2025, researchers at Boston University's Institute for Global Sustainability, working with Schneider Electric, ran a machine-learning review of thousands of studies and came back with 95 separate barriers to building decarbonization, published in Nature Communications. Very few of them are "the technology doesn't work."

The barriers are about money and rules

When they grouped the 95 barriers into themes, economic ones were the most common — high upfront costs, weak financing, uncertain returns, cost premiums on unconventional materials. Political barriers came second: missing or inconsistent building codes, uncertain governance, patchy enforcement. Technical barriers, the actual physical limits, were the least discussed of the five themes. Across 2022 to 2024, the top three barriers were high costs, high initial investment, and the price premium on green materials. Fifteen years of literature points the same way, with economic and political blockers on top the whole time.

And they land before anyone breaks ground

The same study mapped where in a building's life these barriers show up, and the answer is early. More than half appear before construction even starts — 30% at the standard-setting stage and 23% during design and planning. Another 19% surface in operation, 18% at end-of-life, and only 10% during material selection and construction itself.

Construction barely gained productivity in a generation
Average annual labour-productivity growth, 2000–2024
Construction 0.4%, total economy 2.0%, manufacturing 3.0%.

That timing matters for owners. A building's carbon position is mostly set in the planning rooms — in the codes it's built to, the budget it's held to, the drawings it's approved on — by people making decisions long before anyone pours a foundation. By the time the work is visible on site, the important choices are already made.

Whoever pays isn't the one who benefits

Part of why those early decisions go the wrong way is a mismatch built into the deal structure. The person who pays for a low-carbon choice is rarely the person who collects the reward. The familiar version is a landlord who buys the efficient system while the tenant keeps the lower energy bill, so neither one has much reason to act. A 2024 ACEEE study showed this "split incentive" runs the full length of the value chain — developer to owner to operator to occupant.

Most barriers appear before construction starts
Share of building-decarbonization barriers, by lifecycle phase — 53% land before a foundation is poured
Before construction Construction onward
Standard-setting 30%, design & planning 23%, materials & construction 10%, operation & use 19%, end-of-life 18%.

Each party hands the building to the next. The developer builds and sells before any savings appear. The owner funds upgrades whose payoff flows to whoever occupies the space. The tenant gets the lower bills but won't reinvest in an asset they don't hold. The costs and the benefits sit in different columns, so the low-carbon option keeps losing on a narrow view of each party's own ledger.

Underneath it all: a fragmented industry

There's a structural reason these gaps never get closed. Construction is one of the least consolidated sectors in the economy. About 79% of construction firms have fewer than ten employees, and labour productivity has grown just 0.4% a year since 2000 — against 2% for the economy as a whole and 3% in manufacturing, according to the McKinsey Global Institute.

Whoever pays isn't who benefits
The low-carbon choice and its payoff land on different desks along the chain
Developer
Owner
Operator
Tenant
Pays for the low-carbon upgrade
✓ pays
✓ pays
Captures the benefit (lower bills, resale)
partial
✓ gains
The developer builds and sells before any savings show up. The owner funds upgrades whose payoff flows to the tenant. The tenant enjoys lower bills but won't invest in an asset they don't own. Each party hands the building to the next, and no one holds the whole outcome.

A single project pulls together dozens of separate firms: developer, architect, structural and mechanical engineers, trades, lender, insurer, operator. Each optimizes its own slice and hands off to the next. When a sector is built that way, no one is positioned to make a decision across the whole thing — which is exactly what cutting embodied and operational carbon requires. That's how a problem with known solutions stays unsolved: the solutions exist, but the coordination to apply them doesn't.

What this means if you build or own‍ ‍

For an owner, this reframes the problem. Your building's carbon position isn't waiting on a breakthrough. It's the result of decisions already made — at code, at design, in the lease, in the budget — by separate parties, none of whom was responsible for the outcome as a whole. And once the building is up, most of it is locked in: embodied carbon is fixed at construction, and operational performance is expensive to change after the fact. With roughly 2.6 trillion square feet of new floor area expected worldwide between 2020 and 2060, today's uncoordinated decisions become tomorrow's committed emissions.

Which points to where the leverage actually is. The hard part isn't capability. It's connecting the money, the design, the regulation, and the operation into a single decision, instead of leaving them scattered across parties who never sit in the same room. Part 4 follows that thread to where it hits the balance sheet directly — financing, insurance, and asset value.

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